10/18/10 1:48 AM ET
A 1-1 LCS can be anybody's guess
By Anthony Castrovince / MLB.com
These two best-of-seven sets have been whittled down to best-of-five. The "reset" button has been pressed, the intensity heightened, and, frankly, it's anybody's guess where it all leads from here.This is only the fifth time in the post-1995 Division Series era that both LCSs are tied 1-1. It happened in 1996 (Yankees-Orioles; Braves-Cardinals), '97 (Indians-Orioles; Marlins-Braves), 2003 (Yankees-Red Sox, Marlins-Cubs) and '05 (White Sox-Angels, Astros-Cardinals). If you're looking for some kind of historical clue as to how this might all play out, consider that in three of the previous four instances, the team that purportedly lost home-field advantage by splitting the series' first two games went on to win it, anyway. Of course, historical trends don't always hold true. We're in the present, and the first two games of each LCS have left us with plenty to digest. In the AL, we have had the message hammered home that while the Yankees' lineup might have more experience on this stage, that Rangers budge for nobody. CC Sabathia, the embodiment of excellence last October (particularly when he pestered the Angels twice in four days in the LCS round) was hammered in Game 1 in Arlington. The Rangers roughed him up for five runs in four innings, an assault that momentarily rattled all preconceived notions about the LCS outlook. The talk going in had been about the Rangers likely suffering from their inability to use Cliff Lee until Game 3, yet here Sabathia was getting clearly outdueled by C.J. Wilson, and the tone shifted. This was, as it turned out, a mirage. The Yankees turned that game in their favor with a five-run eighth that was either stunning or scripted, depending on your perspective. And with a late lead lost in demoralizing fashion, the Rangers looked destined for demise. For about, oh, 16 hours. Because in Game 2, the Rangers simply revved up their offensive engines once again and made their early advantage stick. Now, it's Lee on the hill for a Game 3 that looks a lot like a Game 1. "It's a five-game series now," the Rangers' Ian Kinsler said. "We have Cliff Lee to pitch two of them. That doesn't sound so bad now, does it?" No, it really doesn't. The Rangers can take comfort in having Lee, 6-0 with a 1.44 ERA in the postseason, available to pitch two of the five potential remaining games. The Yankees, though, will counter in Game 3 with Andy Pettitte, the winningest pitcher in postseason history. If Pettitte and the Yankees can overcome Lee, who seemed about the only pitcher capable of derailing them on their path to a World Series title in '09, that might be even more significant than those miraculous eighth-inning exploits in Game 1.